Tag: college basketball

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Power Rating The NCAA Field

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Here are the consensus power ratings, using several rating systems and then equalized toward a spread. Rating systems utilized in these ratings include: KenPom, VSIN-Makinen, Sonny Moore, TeamRankings, VSIN-Bettors and EvanMiya. To compute an expected spread, subtract the favorite from the underdog’s ratings. Top 1 Michigan 99.7 2 Duke 99.0 3 Arizona 97.7 4 Florida 96.4 5 Houston 95.0 6 Iowa State 94.1 7 Illinois 94.0 8 Purdue 93.5 9 Gonzaga 92.1 10 Michigan St 91.3 11 UConn 91.2 12 Vanderbilt 91.1 13 Louisville 90.6 14 Alabama 90.5 15 Virginia 90.5 16 St. John’s 90.3 17 Tennessee 90.2 18 Arkansas … Continue reading Power Rating The NCAA Field

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Finding This Year’s Dogs That Aren’t Really Dogs In The NCAA Tournament

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Every year, we hear about some lower seeds pulling off an “upset for the ages” in the NCAA March Madness Tournament. Only, more often than not, it wasn’t really an upset, by Vegas odds standards, let alone one for the ages. Year after year, there are lower seeds who are actually favored in games, or very small underdogs. That is actually one of the first things I look at before filling out brackets. So, here is that exercise for public consumption. Lower Seeds who are favored Baylor vs. Mississippi State. This one barely qualifies. Baylor, the nine seed, is -1 … Continue reading Finding This Year’s Dogs That Aren’t Really Dogs In The NCAA Tournament

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80+ Preview: Iowa St. at Texas Tech

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KenPom Thrill Score: 86.9 1 p.m. CT, ESPN. Line: Texas Tech -2.5. Total 147.5Handle: Iowa St. 46 percent of bets, 54 percent of money on Action. Total 51 percent of money on Over. Projections KenPom: Iowa St. 77-76.Haslam: Iowa St. 76.1, Texas Tech 73.7.Evan Miya: Iowa St 76, Texas Tech 74. BPI Predicted Difference: Iowa St -.3.Greg Peterson: Iowa St. -3.5, Total 1475. Pro tracker: 2 Bets on Texas Tech ML (-110 to -125). Top Players Iowa St GmScore LeadersCurtis Jones, Guard 13.49.Kershon Gilbert, Guard 13.29.Joshua Jefferson, Forward, 12.59. Tamin Lipsey, Guard, 10.49. Texas Tech GmScore LeadersJT Toppin, Forward, 15.23.Darrion … Continue reading 80+ Preview: Iowa St. at Texas Tech

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The KenPom Criteria Qualifiers For National Champions

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3/25/24 Pre-Sweet 16 Checkin Checking in after the opening weekend, and all six of the identified teams have survived, and five of the six are favorites in the Sweet 16 round. If you do the math on those chances to win, that adds up to a 76.5 percent chance the system identified the champion pre-tournament. I have been doing moneyline rollovers on all six of these teams, instead of taking futures bets on any of them. I’ll likely continue to do that for all six at least one more round. 3/18/24 A few weeks back, I wrote about the teams … Continue reading The KenPom Criteria Qualifiers For National Champions

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KenPom’s Minimum Qualifying Standards

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With football nearly in the rearview, my focus has turned to basketball, and for me that is mostly college basketball. Yes, the NBA is a better product, but for some reason I always gravitate to watching college more. I can’t explain it. The eye is always toward the March Madness tournament. And who can win it. I’m a fan of KenPom, TeamRankings, Torvik, all of it. One of the things I look at heading in is teams who meet the minimum required rankings of past national champions. Basically, “no team ranked lower than <this> has ever won the title. Criteria … Continue reading KenPom’s Minimum Qualifying Standards