“Was Gonzaga A Fraud All Along?” is a stupid take

So, I’m scrolling through Twitter earlier today and I see a tweet that was, essentially, “I bought into a fraud with Gonzaga”. I get gut reactions and someone not thinking this one through. We are all guilty of it, but you know me. I try to put things in historical perspective as often as I can. One game be damned. In the basketball world, KenPom has become one of the most relevant sources of, well, relevancy. Their Adjusted Efficiency Measure changed the analytical world enough so that it had a huge impact on Vegas line setting. It is pretty easily … Continue reading “Was Gonzaga A Fraud All Along?” is a stupid take

IAW Spreads for March Madness, 3-22

Here are what my power ratings spread numbers look like for the Monday slate of games today. This uses my power ratings published here. Slightly different format today as regular work life means I’m rushing. Below is my spreadsheet cheat sheet I use. It includes the Vegas spread and total, my IAW power rating spread, a column for the difference between money and bet percentages, and then the bets or picks of some of the pro gamblers I follow. Remember, I’m not that smart, but I know who the smart people are. Continue reading IAW Spreads for March Madness, 3-22

IAW Spreads for March Madness, 3-21

Here are what my power ratings spread numbers look like for the Sunday slate of games today. This usses my power ratings published here. Loyola-Chicago vs. Illinois, 11:10 a.m., Central Current Vegas Spread: Illinois -7. Total 133.5Weez Spread: Illinois -7.9. Wisconsin vs. Baylor, 1:40 p.m. Current Vegas Spread: Baylor -6.5, 137.5Weez Spread: Baylor -6. Syracuse vs. West Virginia, 4:15 p.m. Current Vegas Spread: West Virginia -4, 147.Weez Spread: West Virginia -3.1. Texas Tech vs. Arkansas, 5:10 p.m. Current Vegas Spread: Texas Tech -2, 141.Weez Spread: Texas Tech -0.2. Rutgers vs. Houston, 6:10 p.m. Current Vegas Spread: Houston -7.5, 132.Weez Spread: … Continue reading IAW Spreads for March Madness, 3-21

From Gonzaga To Norfolk: Power Rating The Tournament Teams

Between the multiple jobs this year, including a high school sprint through basketball season, along with the Covid unknowns, I did not do my weekly college basketball power ratings this year. Well, I felt like doing them for the tournament. I guess I just got the itch while doing some brackets. So, here are my power ratings for all 68 teams in the field. Remember, these are spread ratings, so the lower the number the better. For example, Gonzaga at 0 is the baseline. They would be a 9.1-point favorite over Kansas, for example. Illinois would be a 5.9-point favorite … Continue reading From Gonzaga To Norfolk: Power Rating The Tournament Teams

College Basketball Power Rankings

It’s college basketball tournament time, with the conference tournaments underway, and March Madness right around the corner. I will not be making my annual trek to Vegas this year, as I have a Boston work trip next week. And Illinois did not get anyone with mobile betting up just yet, which means if I want to make any legal wagers, I’m driving to Indiana again. Still, I finally got a chance to sit down and work on some power rankings. I have a top 64 for now. I will sit down next weekend and power rate each NCAA Tournament team, … Continue reading College Basketball Power Rankings