Football, football and football. We have all four of us in studio this week with the NFL season on the horizion. We started the show by reviewing last week’s college picks and making this week’s before diving into NFL predictions. … Continue reading Take The Points–Sep. 10, 2021
Bruce and I with this week’s Take The Points, our attempt at education, information and entertainment on all things sports. Hey, I said it was an attempt, not that we pulled it off. Lots of football talk, both high school … Continue reading Take The Points–Sep. 3, 2021
With the college football season just a couple of weeks ago, it it time to release the IAW power ratings. We have switched things up slightly this year. In previous years, the PR number was equalized to where the top team was a 0, and then the teams below had a PR equal to what they would be underdogs by against the top team. This year, we are flipping that to more mirror what people are accustomed to–higher number means better team. The power rating is still equalized relative to the top team, but now the numbers would be subtracted … Continue reading College Football Power Ratings, Preseason
Bruce and I with this week’s Take The Points, our attempt at education, information and entertainment on all things sports. Hey, I said it was an attempt, not that we pulled it off. Lots of EURO talk. some NBA and … Continue reading Take The Points–July 2, 2021
The calendar turns to July, which just brings us one month closer to the return of college football. I know, I know. I’ll wait for you to wipe away the tears of anticipation. Betting odds are up for the national title, with all the usual suspects. Top 10, via Draftkings Team Odds 1 Alabama +225 2 Clemson +300 3 Ohio St +400 4 Oklahoma +650 5 Georgia +700 6 Iowa St +2800 7 LSU +4000 7 Texas A&M +4000 7 Florida +4000 10 Texas +5000 One of the first things I look at when looking at preseason futures (usually win … Continue reading National Title Odds and Returning Production
*This originally ran in the Wayne County Press. Buy a damn paper. Just about every Dick Schapp wannabe out there has a “If I ruled the sports world” column. Well, here is mine. In a world where I can make any changes to any sport with unilateral autonomy, my priority list would include: DH In Both MLB Leagues I really thought we had this done last year. Anyone trying to preach No DH is doing it out of nostalgia, not a love of strategy. “But it makes it more interesting to manage”. Shut up, ’82. No it doesn’t. You just … Continue reading Ball Five: If I Were Sports Czar…
We had all four of us back together again? What was the special occasion? Well, mostly schedules breaking right, but also, the NFL Draft plus the Kentucky Derby in the same weekend. We led off the NFL Draft talk, doing … Continue reading Take The Points–April 30, 2021
So, I’m scrolling through Twitter earlier today and I see a tweet that was, essentially, “I bought into a fraud with Gonzaga”. I get gut reactions and someone not thinking this one through. We are all guilty of it, but you know me. I try to put things in historical perspective as often as I can. One game be damned. In the basketball world, KenPom has become one of the most relevant sources of, well, relevancy. Their Adjusted Efficiency Measure changed the analytical world enough so that it had a huge impact on Vegas line setting. It is pretty easily … Continue reading “Was Gonzaga A Fraud All Along?” is a stupid take
No, this is not a post telling you to watch Mike Trout. Although, yes. As often as possible, yes. No, this post is what has become one of my favorite Opening Day exercices of the last few years. Where does Mike Trout rank in career WAR, and how many Hall of Famers will he pass this year. So, as of opening day, the Angels outfielder is sitting at 74.1 career WAR. That is already good enough to rank 81st all time, in 10 seasons, at the age of 28. The most recent Hall of Famers in his rearview mirror, despite … Continue reading Mike Trout Watch
Here are what my power ratings spread numbers look like for the Monday slate of games today. This uses my power ratings published here. Slightly different format today as regular work life means I’m rushing. Below is my spreadsheet cheat sheet I use. It includes the Vegas spread and total, my IAW power rating spread, a column for the difference between money and bet percentages, and then the bets or picks of some of the pro gamblers I follow. Remember, I’m not that smart, but I know who the smart people are. Continue reading IAW Spreads for March Madness, 3-22
I Am Weez 