2022 NFL Draft Bets

There was a long time I completely nerded out on the NFL draft. I was in a dynasty league that required it to be competitive. Since that league folded a few years back, coupled with years of ineptitude by Raiders’ drafters, I don’t dive all in on the draft as much as I use to. But that doesn’t stop me from firing bets off. Where would be the fun in that. I won’t have time to break down these, but did want to post my running log of NFL draft bets. These have been placed over the last couple of … Continue reading 2022 NFL Draft Bets

This Is (March) Madness

I sit here staring at spreadsheets, brackets, survivor strategies…all of it. I’ve been on a nonstop podcast binge of nothing but college basketball and gambling. All listened to at 2x speed. I’m the guy who can tell you the exact expected win percentages of every team in the NCAA men’s bracket, for every round, based off an algorithm using both advanced analytics and human polling, factoring in travel distance even. I’m the guy who can tell you the point spread, within a point or two, of just about every potential matchup before the spreads are released. I’m the guy who … Continue reading This Is (March) Madness

NFL Futures Check

We have just a couple of weeks to go in the regular season, so I am taking a look at my NFL Futures bets to see where i stand. Colts o8.5 wins hit. At 9-6 already. Broncos u10.5 hit. 8 losses already. Texans AFC South 14/1 is dead. Took this week 1 or 2, just in case that division turned out to be trash. And no, I can’t recall what the hell I was thinking. Chiefs SB 5/1 + ML Bonus: already in plus money. This was a $50 max bet, with $5 paid back for each regular season win. … Continue reading NFL Futures Check

College Football Playoffs–The Power Rated Version (Championship Week edition)

With the conference championships upon us, I got my power ratings updated. This is not a look at resumes, or a debate over deserving, but a look at what the spreads would be in hypothetical matchups. First, the ratings. IAW CFP Top Rating 1 1 Georgia 100.0 2 7 Ohio St 94.5 3 3 Alabama 93.9 4 2 Michigan 89.0 5 6 Notre Dame 85.2 6 4 Cincinnati 85.0 7 5 Oklahoma St 84.5 8 14 Oklahoma 83.7 9 25 Texas A&M 83.6 10 NR Wisconsin 83.5 11 8 Ole Miss 82.9 12 15 Pittsburgh 82.8 13 17 Utah 82.8 … Continue reading College Football Playoffs–The Power Rated Version (Championship Week edition)

College Football Playoffs–The Power Rated Version

Now that we have the NCAA football playoff power rankings, version 2.0 out, I made some time to go update my preseason power ratings for the teams in the CFP Top 25. This is not a look at resumes, or a debate over deserving, but a look at what the spreads would be in hypothetical matchups. First, the ratings. IAW CFP Top Rating 1 1 Georgia 99.9 2 2 Alabama 96.3 3 4 Ohio St 95.5 4 6 Michigan 86.7 5 8 Oklahoma 86.7 6 10 Oklahoma St 85.6 7 11 Texas A&M 85.6 8 5 Cincinnati 85.0 9 NR … Continue reading College Football Playoffs–The Power Rated Version