College Football Spreads Week 7

Here are the IAW spread projections for this week. Away RTG Home RTG HFA IAW Vegas Appalachian St 27.8 UL-Lafayette 30.0 1.88 0.3 -1.5 Syracuse 31.3 NC State 29.9 2.88 -4.3 -4 UL Monroe 42.7 Texas St 45.3 2.05 0.5 3.5 Colorado St 44.1 New Mexico 50.0 1.81 4.1 4 Virginia 24.0 Miami 23.5 2.5 -3.0 -1 Colorado 30.8 Oregon 13.0 2.36 -20.2 -21.5 Miss St 22.0 Tenessee 30.1 1.32 6.8 6.5 Rutgers 46.1 Indiana 25.7 2.14 -22.5 -28 Toledo 35.1 Bowling Green 57.8 1.47 21.2 26.5 South Carolina 23.4 Georgia 5.8 1.89 -19.5 -25 Maryland 27.2 Purdue 35.3 1.47 … Continue reading College Football Spreads Week 7

College Football Spread Prediction Week 6

We had a really good week here last week, going 32-16 against the spread, which brings us to 130-100 overall for the year, good for a 56.2 percent clip on the year. Last week’s pace is obviously not sustainable, but if we can keep that season-long percent above 55 percent, we are golden. Here are this week’s IAW spreads. I don’t remember ever having a week with this many road favorites. Away Home IAW Vegas Georgia So S Alabama 12.9 10 Temple E Carolina 12.3 11.5 UCF Cincinnati 4.5 4 San Jose St New Mexico 2.7 -6.5 S Florida Connecticut … Continue reading College Football Spread Prediction Week 6

College Football Week 5 Spreads

After going 28-20, the IAW projections are now 98-84 (53.9 percent). In the interest of cleaning this up on mobile browsers, I have removed the ratings and home field advantage from this post. Ratings can be found here. There is only one ranked vs. ranked matchup this week: Virginia at Notre Dame. Vegas has the line at 12.5, with is pretty much identical to my 12.7. I really thought Georgia would handle Notre Dame easily last week due to the size matchup up front. That did not happen. These are two teams that are pretty much what we thought they … Continue reading College Football Week 5 Spreads

NFL Week 2 Spreads

Here are my spreads, based on my power ratings vs. the Vegas spreads. I have already bet Miami at +20.5. Away RTG Home RTG HFA IAW Vegas Tampa Bay 10.3 Carolina 7.3 3 -6.0 -7 Indianapolis 8.0 Tennessee 5.9 2 -4.1 -3 LA Chargers 3.1 Detroit 9.5 2 4.4 2.5 Buffalo 8.6 NY Giants 12.1 2 1.5 0 Arizona 12.8 Baltimore 4.8 3.5 -11.5 -14.5 New England 0.0 Miami 16.3 2 14.3 20.5 Dallas 4.2 Washington 10.3 2 4.1 5 Jacksonville 10.2 Houston 4.8 3 -8.4 -10 Seattle 5.8 Pittsburgh 6.2 3 -2.6 -4 San Francisco 7.1 Cincinnati 9.6 2 … Continue reading NFL Week 2 Spreads