Here are my spreads, based on my power ratings vs. the Vegas spreads.
I have already bet Miami at +20.5.
Away | RTG | Home | RTG | HFA | IAW | Vegas |
Tampa Bay | 10.3 | Carolina | 7.3 | 3 | -6.0 | -7 |
Indianapolis | 8.0 | Tennessee | 5.9 | 2 | -4.1 | -3 |
LA Chargers | 3.1 | Detroit | 9.5 | 2 | 4.4 | 2.5 |
Buffalo | 8.6 | NY Giants | 12.1 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 |
Arizona | 12.8 | Baltimore | 4.8 | 3.5 | -11.5 | -14.5 |
New England | 0.0 | Miami | 16.3 | 2 | 14.3 | 20.5 |
Dallas | 4.2 | Washington | 10.3 | 2 | 4.1 | 5 |
Jacksonville | 10.2 | Houston | 4.8 | 3 | -8.4 | -10 |
Seattle | 5.8 | Pittsburgh | 6.2 | 3 | -2.6 | -4 |
San Francisco | 7.1 | Cincinnati | 9.6 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 |
Minnesota | 4.5 | Green Bay | 5.1 | 4 | -3.4 | -3 |
Kansas City | 1.5 | Oakland | 10.7 | 2 | 7.2 | 9 |
New Orleans | 1.6 | LA Rams | 2.1 | 2.5 | -2.0 | -2.5 |
Chicago | 5.6 | Denver | 8.6 | 3 | 0.0 | 1 |
Philadelphia | 2.9 | Atlanta | 7.4 | 3 | 1.5 | 0 |
Cleveland | 7 | NY Jets | 9.6 | 3 | -0.4 | 2.5 |