After going 28-20, the IAW projections are now 98-84 (53.9 percent). In the interest of cleaning this up on mobile browsers, I have removed the ratings and home field advantage from this post. Ratings can be found here.
There is only one ranked vs. ranked matchup this week: Virginia at Notre Dame. Vegas has the line at 12.5, with is pretty much identical to my 12.7. I really thought Georgia would handle Notre Dame easily last week due to the size matchup up front. That did not happen. These are two teams that are pretty much what we thought they were, however. From the preseason ratings, both have moved less than .6 points.
Note: The redshirt defections in Houston are not fully reflected in the below projection. So, while there is a three-point difference in Houston’s favor below, I’m not touching that game bet-wise.
Happy hunting.
| Away | Home | IAW | Vegas |
| Navy | Memphis | -13.8 | -10.5 |
| Duke | Virginia Tech | -2.1 | -2.5 |
| Penn St | Maryland | 7.7 | 7 |
| San Jose St | Air Force | -18.7 | -18.5 |
| Arizona St | California | -3.6 | -4.5 |
| Northwestern | Wisconsin | -25.4 | -24 |
| Wake Forest | Boston College | 4.5 | 7 |
| UConn | UCF | -41.4 | -43 |
| C. Michigan | W Michigan | -16.7 | -17.5 |
| SMU | South Florida | 8.3 | 8.5 |
| Buffalo | Miami OH | -1.0 | -1.5 |
| Georgia Tech | Temple | -10.9 | -9.5 |
| NC State | Florida St | -4.0 | -6 |
| Iowa St | Baylor | -0.6 | 3 |
| BYU | Toledo | 3.1 | 2.5 |
| Akron | UMass | 3.9 | 7 |
| Rutgers | Michigan | -26.6 | -27.5 |
| Minnesota | Purdue | 3.2 | 1 |
| UL Lafayette | Ga. Southern | 5.0 | 3.5 |
| MTSU | Iowa | -24.5 | -24 |
| UNLV | Wyoming | -7.7 | -9.5 |
| Wash St | Utah | -3.8 | -5 |
| Fresno St | New Mexico S | 20.1 | 17.5 |
| Hawaii | Nevada | 3.0 | -2 |
| Stanford | Oregon St | 3.0 | 4 |
| Indiana | Mich St | -11.7 | -14 |
| Clemson | North Carolina | 24.6 | 26.5 |
| Kentucky | South Carolina | -4.2 | -3 |
| Ole Miss | Alabama | -31.6 | -37.5 |
| NIU | TCU | -18.1 | -16 |
| Kansas St | Oklahoma St | -5.0 | -5 |
| Miss St | Auburn | -9.7 | -11 |
| Texas Tech | Oklahoma | -21.9 | -27 |
| FAU | Charlotte | 4.1 | 0 |
| Virginia | Notre Dame | -12.7 | -12.5 |
| Coast Carolina | App St | -15.7 | -15.5 |
| Cincinnati | Marshall | 2.2 | 3.5 |
| East Carolina | Old Dominion | 1.4 | -2.5 |
| New Mexico | Liberty | -7.8 | -7.5 |
| Arkansas St | Troy | -2.8 | -6.5 |
| South Alabama | UL Monroe | -11.2 | -16 |
| UTEP | Southern Miss | -25.1 | -26.5 |
| La Tech | Rice | 10.3 | 9 |
| UAB | West Kentucky | -0.4 | 3 |
| Colorado St | Utah St | -26.7 | -24 |
| Ohio St | Nebraska | 17.9 | 17.5 |
| Houston | North Texas | -4.0 | -7 |
| Arkansas | Texas A&M | -22.1 | -23.5 |
| USC | Washington | -8.7 | -10 |
| UCLA | Arizona | -7.5 | -7.5 |
