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College Football Spread Predictions Week 8

weezel32

Running behind this week, so throwing up the early games while I work on the rest. I did not get to the midweek stuff this week either. Perils of doing this as a side gig. Of the early games, I like Florida -4 and Louisville +25 the most. Away Home IAW Vegas Clemson Louisville 23.2 25 West Virginia Oklahoma -30.0 -32 Wisconsin Illinois 26.4 30 Florida South Carolina 5.5 4 Auburn Arkansas 19.1 19.5 Purdue Iowa -16.5 -17.5 Houston UConn 20.3 21.5 Kent St Ohio -7.9 -7.5 Georgia Tech Miami -19.4 -18 NC State Boston College 2.6 3.5 Here is … Continue reading College Football Spread Predictions Week 8

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College Football Power Ratings Week 8

weezel32

This week’s IAW Power Ratings have been updated. Ohio St. continues to move closer to Alabama and further ahead of Clemson. Georgia falls to number six after the loss to South Carolina, but not as far behind as it might seem. They had four turnovers in a game they otherwise were the better team in. With the schedule they have, if they win out, they still most likely make the playoffs. Rank Team IAW RTG 1 Alabama 0.3 2 Ohio State 2.3 3 Clemson 4.8 4 LSU 5.9 5 Oklahoma 6.6 6 Georgia 8.2 7 Wisconsin 9.0 8 Penn State … Continue reading College Football Power Ratings Week 8

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College Football Spreads Week 7

weezel32

Here are the IAW spread projections for this week. Away RTG Home RTG HFA IAW Vegas Appalachian St 27.8 UL-Lafayette 30.0 1.88 0.3 -1.5 Syracuse 31.3 NC State 29.9 2.88 -4.3 -4 UL Monroe 42.7 Texas St 45.3 2.05 0.5 3.5 Colorado St 44.1 New Mexico 50.0 1.81 4.1 4 Virginia 24.0 Miami 23.5 2.5 -3.0 -1 Colorado 30.8 Oregon 13.0 2.36 -20.2 -21.5 Miss St 22.0 Tenessee 30.1 1.32 6.8 6.5 Rutgers 46.1 Indiana 25.7 2.14 -22.5 -28 Toledo 35.1 Bowling Green 57.8 1.47 21.2 26.5 South Carolina 23.4 Georgia 5.8 1.89 -19.5 -25 Maryland 27.2 Purdue 35.3 1.47 … Continue reading College Football Spreads Week 7

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College Football Power Ratings Week 7

weezel32

Here are this week’s NCAA football power ratings. The IAW rating is how many points different between the two teams, on a neutral field, or how many points underdog they would be against Alabama. Rank Team IAW RTG 1 Alabama 0.0 2 Ohio State 1.8 3 Clemson 5.1 4 LSU 5.3 5 Georgia 5.8 6 Oklahoma 6.2 7 Wisconsin 10.2 8 Penn State 11.2 9 Auburn 12.0 10 Oregon 13.0 11 Notre Dame 13.2 12 Florida 13.7 13 Michigan 16.1 14 Missouri 16.2 15 Utah 17.3 16 Texas A&M 17.6 17 Washington 17.6 18 Iowa 17.7 19 Texas 17.7 20 … Continue reading College Football Power Ratings Week 7

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College Football Spread Prediction Week 6

weezel32

We had a really good week here last week, going 32-16 against the spread, which brings us to 130-100 overall for the year, good for a 56.2 percent clip on the year. Last week’s pace is obviously not sustainable, but if we can keep that season-long percent above 55 percent, we are golden. Here are this week’s IAW spreads. I don’t remember ever having a week with this many road favorites. Away Home IAW Vegas Georgia So S Alabama 12.9 10 Temple E Carolina 12.3 11.5 UCF Cincinnati 4.5 4 San Jose St New Mexico 2.7 -6.5 S Florida Connecticut … Continue reading College Football Spread Prediction Week 6

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College Football Power Ratings Week 6

weezel32

We have a shakeup near the top this week. It was time to move Ohio State ahead of Clemson. The Tigers are still very, very good, but the elite play just hasn’t been there. This is a reflection of the performance, not the talent, however. Alabama has become the undisputed number one, with Clemson joining a tight pack of four others vying for 3-6. Rank Team RTG 1 Alabama 0.0 2 Ohio State 2.2 3 Clemson 4.6 4 Oklahoma 5.7 5 Georgia 5.8 6 LSU 6.3 7 Auburn 10.2 8 Wisconsin 11.3 9 Penn State 11.8 10 Oregon 12.6 11 … Continue reading College Football Power Ratings Week 6

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College Football Week 5 Spreads

weezel32

After going 28-20, the IAW projections are now 98-84 (53.9 percent). In the interest of cleaning this up on mobile browsers, I have removed the ratings and home field advantage from this post. Ratings can be found here. There is only one ranked vs. ranked matchup this week: Virginia at Notre Dame. Vegas has the line at 12.5, with is pretty much identical to my 12.7. I really thought Georgia would handle Notre Dame easily last week due to the size matchup up front. That did not happen. These are two teams that are pretty much what we thought they … Continue reading College Football Week 5 Spreads

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College Football Power Ratings Week 5

weezel32

Here are the IAW power ratings, heading into week five of college football. Michigan takes a tumble all the way to 15, Ohio State overtakes Georgia and the rest keep on ticking, mostly. The biggest tumbler this week is Houston, after the redshirt shenanigans this week, including quarterback D’eriq King. Rank Team Rating 1 Alabama 0.0 2 Clemson 1.8 3 Ohio State 4.6 4 Georgia 6.1 5 LSU 6.4 6 Oklahoma 7.6 7 Wisconsin 10.1 8 Auburn 12.1 9 Notre Dame 13.0 10 Oregon 13.3 11 Florida 14.2 12 Penn State 15.0 13 Washington 15.6 14 Texas A&M 16.2 15 … Continue reading College Football Power Ratings Week 5

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Instant Classic: Houston-Tulane

weezel32

There was a beautiful football game to watch last night. No, not the Minshew Mania Bowl, although that can be a different type of fun, because the Minshew Mustache Mafia is going to be a thing if I have anything to do with it. No, the Houston-Tulane game over on ESPN was much more entertaining, despite Houston trucking Tulane early and going up 28-7. I tuned into this one mostly because Houston quarter D’eriq King reminds me of Antwaan Randle El, Indiana’s greatest football player of my time. Tulane had never come back from more than 14 points down in … Continue reading Instant Classic: Houston-Tulane