CFB Bowl Picks ATS

Bowl season starts Friday. Here is a quick look at the sides I like. May come back around to further dive into some individual picks later if I get time. I will also mark my actual bets on this page in bold. Charlotte +6.5 vs. Buffalo. Bet U52. Buffalo can defend ground game. Weather likely. Kent St. +5 vs. Utah St. San Diego St. -3.5 vs. Central Michigan Liberty +4.5 vs. Georgia Southern FAU +3 vs. SMU. Arkansas St. -2.5 vs. FIU Like U62.5 Boise St +3.5 vs. Washington App St. -16.5 vs. UAB Marshall +17.5 vs. UCF BYU -2 … Continue reading CFB Bowl Picks ATS

CFB Power Ratings–Pre-Bowl Season

Here are my pre-bowl season power ratings, with bowl games set to kick off Friday. And yeah, my top two power rated teams are playing each other in the semifinals. Note: these do not take into account players sitting out yet. As for coaches leaving, I don’t adjust much based on interim coaches. Since 2010, teams have performed right at their ATS numbers on average even with interim coaches. Rank Team IAW RTG 1 Ohio State 0.6 2 Clemson 2.1 3 LSU 4.4 4 Alabama 7.3 5 Georgia 10.1 6 Oklahoma 12.1 7 Utah 13.4 8 Michigan 13.6 9 Florida … Continue reading CFB Power Ratings–Pre-Bowl Season

College Football Power Ratings Week 14

Between the Macbook biting the dust and travel by both me and my boss in consecutive weeks, it has been about a month since I was last able to update my power ratings for college football. The holiday week allowed me to finally get them updated this week. This is my first update since the Tua injury, and Alabama slides down to number four in my rankings. That is probably a spot or two higher than most, as I’m giving credit to Nick Saban to be smart enough to negate some of the dropoff through game plan. I think his … Continue reading College Football Power Ratings Week 14

College Football Spreads Week 10

Here are this week’s college football lines vs. the Vegas lines. The big match up of course is Georgia vs. Florida. This line has been moving this week, so chances are you could find a number you like for either team. I have Georgia at -4.8. In Washington vs. Utah, the Utes are three point favorites, and I have that game at just a 1.5-point difference. The other top 25 match up is SMU at Memphis, where I have the Mustangs covering. Away Home IAW Vegas West Virginia Baylor -19.9 -18.5 Georgia Southern App St. -15.8 -15 Navy UConn 25.5 … Continue reading College Football Spreads Week 10

College Football Power Ratings Week 10

After not getting to update last week, here are the updated IAW ratings. And yeah, we have a new number one. With Tua out, I have Ohio State 3.4 points better than Alabama. With Tua healthy, I would still have them about 1/2 point better. Rank Team IAW RTG 1 Ohio State 0.0 2 Alabama 3.4 3 Clemson 4.1 4 LSU 6.3 5 Oklahoma 8.6 6 Georgia 9.9 7 Penn State 11.3 8 Wisconsin 12.1 9 Auburn 12.6 10 Utah 13.9 11 Oregon 14.3 12 Michigan 14.6 13 Florida 14.7 14 Notre Dame 18.0 15 UCF 18.2 16 Washington 18.3 … Continue reading College Football Power Ratings Week 10

College Football Spread Predictions Week 8

Running behind this week, so throwing up the early games while I work on the rest. I did not get to the midweek stuff this week either. Perils of doing this as a side gig. Of the early games, I like Florida -4 and Louisville +25 the most. Away Home IAW Vegas Clemson Louisville 23.2 25 West Virginia Oklahoma -30.0 -32 Wisconsin Illinois 26.4 30 Florida South Carolina 5.5 4 Auburn Arkansas 19.1 19.5 Purdue Iowa -16.5 -17.5 Houston UConn 20.3 21.5 Kent St Ohio -7.9 -7.5 Georgia Tech Miami -19.4 -18 NC State Boston College 2.6 3.5 Here is … Continue reading College Football Spread Predictions Week 8

College Football Power Ratings Week 8

This week’s IAW Power Ratings have been updated. Ohio St. continues to move closer to Alabama and further ahead of Clemson. Georgia falls to number six after the loss to South Carolina, but not as far behind as it might seem. They had four turnovers in a game they otherwise were the better team in. With the schedule they have, if they win out, they still most likely make the playoffs. Rank Team IAW RTG 1 Alabama 0.3 2 Ohio State 2.3 3 Clemson 4.8 4 LSU 5.9 5 Oklahoma 6.6 6 Georgia 8.2 7 Wisconsin 9.0 8 Penn State … Continue reading College Football Power Ratings Week 8

College Football Spreads Week 7

Here are the IAW spread projections for this week. Away RTG Home RTG HFA IAW Vegas Appalachian St 27.8 UL-Lafayette 30.0 1.88 0.3 -1.5 Syracuse 31.3 NC State 29.9 2.88 -4.3 -4 UL Monroe 42.7 Texas St 45.3 2.05 0.5 3.5 Colorado St 44.1 New Mexico 50.0 1.81 4.1 4 Virginia 24.0 Miami 23.5 2.5 -3.0 -1 Colorado 30.8 Oregon 13.0 2.36 -20.2 -21.5 Miss St 22.0 Tenessee 30.1 1.32 6.8 6.5 Rutgers 46.1 Indiana 25.7 2.14 -22.5 -28 Toledo 35.1 Bowling Green 57.8 1.47 21.2 26.5 South Carolina 23.4 Georgia 5.8 1.89 -19.5 -25 Maryland 27.2 Purdue 35.3 1.47 … Continue reading College Football Spreads Week 7

College Football Power Ratings Week 7

Here are this week’s NCAA football power ratings. The IAW rating is how many points different between the two teams, on a neutral field, or how many points underdog they would be against Alabama. Rank Team IAW RTG 1 Alabama 0.0 2 Ohio State 1.8 3 Clemson 5.1 4 LSU 5.3 5 Georgia 5.8 6 Oklahoma 6.2 7 Wisconsin 10.2 8 Penn State 11.2 9 Auburn 12.0 10 Oregon 13.0 11 Notre Dame 13.2 12 Florida 13.7 13 Michigan 16.1 14 Missouri 16.2 15 Utah 17.3 16 Texas A&M 17.6 17 Washington 17.6 18 Iowa 17.7 19 Texas 17.7 20 … Continue reading College Football Power Ratings Week 7