I’m starting to lock in some of my Super Bowls, so I figured it was a good time to start this thread. I always put my picks into the Action Network app for all sports, but figured the Super Bowl was worth a seperate blog post as well. So, happy hunting.
Rams +210. Made this bet before the semifinals. This was a free bet max bet, so nothing lost if they lose.
U10 1Q -170. Super Bowls tend to start slow, but 10 is a key number, so I took the juiced up number here. There are 9s without the juice out there. Rams had six TDs that started in the first quarter that ended in touchdowns in the second. I took the 10 just in case that regresses to the mean.
If I had to pick the total, I lean slightly under 48.5, but if I get that slow start I expect, I will look for a live over 43 or so.
Joe Mixon o16.5 rush attempts
Joe Mixon o62.5 rush yards
I bet the rush yards before the attempts was available. I prefer the attempts number. This is simply guessing that Zac Taylor is conservative in his first Super Bowl. I’m not faithful in the efficiency of those attempts and worry about second half game script. I would have loved an over 8.5 attempts in first half if I could find it. I will be looking to play a live under though.
Joe Mixon o10.5 rush yards in 1st Quarter +100.
Odell Beckham Jr. o63.5 receiving yards–playing off Higbee expected to be out.
Cooper Kupp o28.5 longest reception -130.
Kevin Huber o52.5 yards longest punt.
Matt Gay o1.5 FGs -124.
Joe Burrow o299.5 passing yards +256. This was a 100 percent odds boost on DK. Odds boosts generally are for suckers. I will be looking for ways to hedge this one either before hand or live.
Samaje Perine u17.5 rush+rec yards -115.
Matt Stafford u5.5 rush yards -110.
Joe Burrow o0.5 interceptions -145.
Rams more sacks than Bengals -230
I was hoping to get Rams o2.5 sacks but it opened at 3.5, so I played this one this way instead.1
Rams to call first timeout -121.
More Points in 2nd Half than 1st -125.
Opening kickoff for a touchback No +110
I rarely play single game SGPs. Their odds are juiced heavily. I do, however, play the Risk-Free/refund ones, so:
Joe Burrow o229.5 pass yards
Rams 2+ sacks
Check back over the next week as I will update this as I go.