Well, week 0 did not disappoint, with two fun games. Hawaii pulled off the double-digit upset in week 0 for the second straight year, despite four interceptions and benching their starting quarterback. And that all came after Miami covered against Florida in a low-scoring affair, something we warned of. My projections wound up splitting against the spread.
Week one brings our first Thursday games. I kind of like Texas State to backdoor cover in a game more important to them than Texas A&M. I like UCLA to be improved in year two of Chip Kelly and think that game is a true coin flip game.
There is only one road favorite Thursday, with the Utes traveling to rival BYU. I liked the early number on the Pac-12 championship future for Utah before it got bet heavy, but I’m still staying away from that game this week. BYU blew a 20-point lead to Utah last year. I could be tempted by a BYU first half moneyline, but not at the current +143. Need a better number than that.
Arizona State is starting a freshman quarterback, but Kent State can not acclimate to the heat, with a 40-point difference in temperature expected. I would look at the under there, unless you can get Kent +27 or more later in the week.
Week 1 Thursday
Away | RTG | Home | RTG | HFA | IAW Spread | Vegas |
UCLA | 23.49 | Cincinnati | 23.75 | 1.63 | -1.37 | -3 |
Georgia Tech | 34.95 | Clemson | 1.65 | 2.9 | -36.2 | -36 |
Florida Int. | 33.22 | Tulane | 36.63 | 2.48 | 0.93 | -2 |
Texas St | 44.18 | Texas A&M | 14.09 | 1.81 | -31.9 | -33.5 |
Kent St | 45.41 | Arizona St | 24.48 | 3.32 | -24.25 | -25 |
Utah | 17.45 | BYU | 25.61 | 2.2 | 5.96 | 5 |