St. Louis Rams at Green Bay Packers
Line: Packers -6.5. Total 45.5. Opened GB -7, 47.
Pro Line: 5.5. Bettor Rating 3.4. 538: GB -9, 78%.
Bet%: GB 60%. Money%: GB 54.
Packers 79.7% chance to win.
Weighted DVOA: Packers #4 (31.4%). Rams #8 (14.1%).
Packers Offense vs. Rams Defense
#1 Pass DVOA vs. #4 Pass D DVOA
#5 Rush DVOA vs. #3 Rush D DVOA
Rams Offense vs. Packers Defense
#20 Pass DVOA vs. #15 Pass D DVOA
#4 Rush DVOA vs. #18 Rush D DVOA
Injuries: GB: David Bakhtiari on IR Jan. 2. 4x Pro-Bowl, 0 sacks this year. Jared Veldheer on Covid list. LAR: Goff thumb? Wolford? QB situation “a day at a time”. Kupp banged up. Donald rib injury. LG David Edward ankle.
Packers: Dinsick, Freedman, Schwartz, Bell.
Rams: Stuckey, Tulley, Kannon, Von Tobel, Hill.
Under: 1H Stuckey, Finocchiaro, Youmans, Fezz.
Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills
Line: Bills -2.5. Total 50 or 50.5. Opened BUF -3, 49.
Pro line: Ravens -.2. Bettor Rating 3.1. 538: Buffalo -4.5, 65%.
Bet% Bills 52%. Money% Ravens 61%.
Bills 72.1% chance to win.
Weighted DVOA: Bills #1 (34.5%). Ravens #8 (14.1).
Bills Offense vs. Ravens Defense
#3 Pass DVOA vs. #10 Pass D DVOA
#22 Rush DVOA vs. #12 Rush D DVOA
Ravens Offense vs. Bills Defense
#17 Pass DVOA vs. #12 Pass D DVOA
#3 Rush DVOA vs. #17 Rush D DVOA
Injuries: Bal: Marcus Peter (back) and Matthew Judon (illness) DNPs Wednesday. CB Tavon Young out. T Ronnie Stanley out. Buf: Cole Beasley limited. Zach Moss out.
Ravens: Mitch, Youmans, Dinsick, Freedman, Schwartz, Stuckey, Finocchiaro, Von Tobel, Hill.
Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs
Line: Chiefs -10. Total 57 or 57.5. Opened KC -9.5, 57.
Pro line: Chiefs -8. Bettor Rating 7.1. 538: KC -9, 79%.
Bet%: CLE 54%. Money%: CLE 55%.
Chiefs 77.5% chance to win.
Weighted DVOA: Chiefs #6 (19.4%). Browns #18 (-0.7%).
Chiefs Offense vs. Browns Defense
#3 Pass DVOA vs. #25 Pass D DVOA
#13 Rush DVOA vs. #19 Rush D DVOA
Browns Offense vs. Chiefs Defense
#10 Pass DVOA vs. #16 Pass D DVOA
#7 Rush DVOA vs. ##31 Rush D DVOA
Injuries: KC: CEH returned from high-ankle sprain in Wk 16. LB Willie Gay high ankle out. Cle Jack Conklin missed Wednesday (hamstring). Get back Joel Bitonio, CB Denzel Ward and Kevin Johnson from Covid.
Browns: Dinsick, Tucker, Freedman, Tulley, Moss, Hill, Raybon.
Chiefs: Schwartz team total O33.
Over: Phan O55.
Under: Tulley U56.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints
Line: Saints -3. Total 51.5. Opened Saints -3.5, 50.5.
Pro Line: Saints -2. Bettor Rating 3.4. 538: Saints -6, 71%.
Bet%: TB 57%. Money%: TB 63%.
Saints 64.3% chance to win.
Weighted DVOA: Saints #2 (34.3). Bucs #3 (33.6%).
Saints Offense vs. Bucs Defense
#12 Pass DVOA vs. #5 Pass D DVOA
#1 Rush DVOA vs. #1 Rush D DVOA
Bucs Offense vs. Saints Defense
#5 Pass DVOA vs. #3 Pass D DVOA
#10 Rush DVOA vs. #2 Rush D DVOA
Injuries: TB Ronald Jones hurt last week (sore quad). RG Alex Capp fractured ankle last week. Godwin/Evans limited but playing NO RB Latavius Murray missed practice Wednesday.
Bucs: Tucker, Youmans, Raybon.
Saints: Pauly, Kannon, Von Tobel, Fezz, Holt.
Under: Dinsick, Stuckey, Moss.
Over: Freedman, Finocchiaro, Stuckey.
Packers -6.5. Under 45.5.
Bills -2.5. Under 50.5.
Chiefs -10. Over 57.
Saints -2. Under 51.5.