College Football Spread Predictions Week 8

Running behind this week, so throwing up the early games while I work on the rest. I did not get to the midweek stuff this week either. Perils of doing this as a side gig.

Of the early games, I like Florida -4 and Louisville +25 the most.

AwayHomeIAWVegas
ClemsonLouisville23.225
West VirginiaOklahoma-30.0-32
WisconsinIllinois26.430
FloridaSouth Carolina5.54
AuburnArkansas19.119.5
PurdueIowa-16.5-17.5
HoustonUConn20.321.5
Kent StOhio-7.9-7.5
Georgia TechMiami-19.4-18
NC StateBoston College2.63.5

Here is the afternoon slate. In this slate, I like Oklahoma St. against Baylor, which actually goes against my pure power rating number, which seems like a good time to discuss this numbers. These are, simply, just a pure power rating number. It does not factor in spots–coming off a bye, a matchup advantage. It does factor in injuries, somewhat, but not always fully. In this case, I have factored in the loss of Baylor’s best defensive player and captain, but also taking a guess I may not have built in enough. I generally am conservative in that regard for pure power ratings, preferring to take a shot at spots. That being said, the pure power ratings are still 30 games over .500 (177-147), so maybe I should just shut up and not overthink something that is working.

AwayHomeIAWVegas
CMUBowling Green9.110.5
Boise StBYU7.77
ToledoBall St1.4-3
Northern IllinoisMiami OH2.51.5
Oregon StCalifornia-9.4-11
TCUKanasas St0.53.5
Coastal CarolinaGeorgia So.-4.4-6.5
New MexicoWyoming-16.7-17.5
DukeVirginia-3.5-3
BuffaloAkron14.617
IndianaMaryland4.16.5
TulsaCincinnati-14.7-16.5
OregonWashington2.52.5
LSUMiss St14.718.5
Southern MissLa Tech-0.32.5
North CarolinaVa Tech2.83.5
MinnesotaRutgers25.828
Iowa StTexas Tech7.07.5
South FloridaNavy-11.6-15.5
UL MonroeApp St-15.8-14.5
MissouriVanderbilt20.321
San Diego StSan Jose St7.47.5
Old DominionUAB-14.1-17
BaylorOklahoma St-3.5-4
CharlotteW Kentucky-8.1-9
MTSUNorth Texas-7.1-7.5

And the evening slate. Penn. St. -7.5 on White Out Night vs. Underdog Harbaugh? Yeah, I’m on the Lions in that one.

AwayHomeIAWVegas
Arizona StUtah-11.5-13.5
KentuckyGeorgia-24.0-24
RiceUTSA2.35.5
ArmyGeorgia St6.94
East CarolinaUCF-28.9-34
W MichiganE Michigan9.610
KansasTexas-23.3-21
ColoradoWashington St-11.8-12.5
TulaneMemphis-5.3-3.5
TempleSMU-6.2-9
UTEPFIU-23.0-24.5
Florida StWake Forest-1.7-1
Texas A&MMississippi6.26
MichiganPenn St-8.0-7.5
TennesseeAlabama-30.7-34.5
ArizonaUSC-10-9.5
NevadaUtah St-19.3-21
Air ForceHawaii3.23.5

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