College Football Playoffs–The Power Rated Version (Championship Week edition)

With the conference championships upon us, I got my power ratings updated.

This is not a look at resumes, or a debate over deserving, but a look at what the spreads would be in hypothetical matchups.

First, the ratings.

IAWCFPTopRating
11Georgia100.0
27Ohio St94.5
33Alabama93.9
42Michigan89.0
56Notre Dame85.2
64Cincinnati85.0
75Oklahoma St84.5
814Oklahoma83.7
925Texas A&M83.6
10NRWisconsin83.5
118Ole Miss82.9
1215Pittsburgh82.8
1317Utah82.8
14NRIowa St82.7
1520Clemson82.6
16NRPenn St81.5
1710Oregon81.1
1818NC State81.0
19NRBaylor80.4
20NRArkansas80.1
2113Iowa78.6
2216Wake Forest78.5
2311Michigan St.78.4
24NRAuburn78.3
2523Kentucky78.1
26NRPurdue76.1
2721Houston75.6
2812BYU75.2
2924Louisiana71.7
3019San Diego St71.1
31NRUTSA70.6

The first column is where they rank in my power ratings. The second column is where they rank in the CFP rankings. The number on the right is their raw power rating. To figure a spread, subtract one rating from the other. Example: Georgia would be a 6.1-point favorite over Alabama, 5.5-point favorite over Ohio St. and so on.

Last time I wrote this column, I was talking about the CFP rankings overrating Michigan State and Oregon. We see now how that worked out.

Gut feeling: If Alabama had come out at #2 this week, they could have afforded a close loss to Georgia and still get in. At 3, I think that was signaling if they lose, no matter what, they are out.

Also, yes, Ohio State is still power rated above Michigan. Yes, I know what just happened Saturday.

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