College football is back tonight, sort of. No matter what Jon Bois says.
There are just two games on the docket to wet our appetite–Miami vs. Florida in Orlando and Arizona at Hawaii.
My rating likes Florida to cover, but that number has dropped from 7.5 to 7 in correlation with the total dropping from 50.5 all the way to 46. Some of that total drop is Miami making a QB move, but the majority of it is weather related, as it is a hot, humid Orlando evening game with rain possible. That makes it tougher for a favorite to cover by a touchdown. I would still lean Florida here, but not sure if it is enough to take it. Probably more of a “monitor the live number” situation.
The late game has seen the total go the other way four points. The public loves betting the over in home Hawaii games. However, the last five times they have hosted a Power 5 school, that total has not hit the current total for this one, 74. Still, the side spread of -11 for Arizona is right at where I had it. I’m guessing I was not the only one thinking under and fading the public, however, as the line just dropped back to 72 and 73 at a couple of different offshore books.
And thus begins the early season battle of having an itchy betting finger but not loving either spot.