SEC Season Spread Projections

With the preseason power ratings out of the way, time to move on to looking at schedules and spreads. Going conference for conference, it only make sense to start with the SEC. This table includes each team’s power rating, the opponent’s power rating, a home-field advantage figure and then the predicted spread for each game based on all of the above.

The spread record is not an actual win-loss guess. It just counts games favored as a win and games as an underdog as a loss. There are much more intricate percentage chance of wins formulas that spit out more accurate win totals. But, this was just a quick eye ball for this spreadsheet only. It also includes an average spread total for the season on the bottom line for each team.

Games against FCS schools do not have power ratings or spreads. For the purposes of the spread record for this sheet, those are all counted as wins.

I’m still playing with getting tables to display properly on all screens in WordPress. If it doesn’t look right, try a roomier screen. Or, go to the google doc.

Alabama0.58HFASpreadGeorgia5.8HFASpread
Duke29.480-28.90at Vanderbilt28.27-2.49-19.98
New Mexico St50.862.3-52.58Murray State
at South Carolina19.12-2.58-15.96Arkansas State35.211.89-31.30
Southern Miss32.372.3-34.09Notre Dame13.551.89-9.64
Ole Miss25.332.3-27.05at Tennessee19.97-1.32-12.85
at Texas A&M14.09-1.81-11.70South Carolina19.121.89-15.21
Tennessee19.972.3-21.69Kentucky25.491.89-21.58
Arkansas28.562.3-30.28vs. Florida (N)11.260-5.46
LSU8.622.3-10.34Missouri18.091.89-14.18
at Miss St15.7-3.15-11.97at Auburn12.55-2.56-4.19
W CarolinaTexas A&M14.091.89-10.18
at Auburn12.55-2.56-9.41at Georgia Tech34.95-2.99-26.16
Spread Record:12-0-23.09Spread Record12-0-15.52
LSU8.62HFASpreadFlorida11.26HFASpread
Georgia Southern35.332.38-29.09vs. Miami19.910-8.65
at Texas19.54-2.23-8.69Tenn-Martin
Northwestern Stat Kentucky25.49-1.25-12.98
at Vanderbilt28.27-2.49-17.16Tennessee19.971.85-10.56
Utah St29.452.38-23.21Towson
Florida11.262.38-5.02Auburn12.551.85-3.14
at Miss St15.7-3.15-3.93at LSU8.62-2.385.02
Auburn12.552.38-6.31at South Carolina19.12-2.58-5.28
At Alabama0.58-2.310.34vs. Georgia5.805.46
at Ole Miss25.33-2.57-14.14Vanderbilt28.271.85-18.86
Arkansas28.562.38-22.32at Missouri18.08-2.14-4.68
Texas A&M14.092.38-7.85Florida St18.061.85-8.65
Spread Record11-1-11.58Spread Record10-2-6.23
Auburn12.55HFASpreadMissouri Tigers18.08HFASpread
vs. Oregon15.490-2.94at Wyoming38.2-2.16-17.96
Tulane36.632.56-26.64West Virginia27.592.14-11.65
Kent State45.412.56-35.42SE MIssouri St
at Texas A&M14.09-1.810.27South Carolina19.122.14-3.18
Miss St15.72.56-5.71Troy34.12.14-18.16
at Florida11.26-1.853.14Ole Miss25.332.14-9.39
at Arkansas28.56-3.24-12.77at Vanderbilt28.27-2.49-7.70
at LSU8.62-2.386.31at Kentucky25.49-1.25-6.16
Ole Miss25.332.56-15.34at Georgia5.8-1.8914.17
Georgia5.82.564.19Florida11.32.144.64
SamfordTennessee19.972.14-4.03
Alabama0.582.569.41at Arkansas28.56-3.24-7.24
Spread Record7-5-6.86Spread Record10-2-6.06
Texas A&M14.09HFASpreadSouth Carolina19.12HFASpread
Texas St44.181.81-31.90vs. North Carolina29.720-10.60
at Clemson1.65-2.915.34Charleston Southern
LamaraAlabama0.582.5815.96
Auburn12.551.81-0.27at Missouri18.08-2.143.18
vs. Arkansas28.560-14.47Kentucky25.492.58-8.95
Alabama0.581.8111.70at Georgia5.8-1.8915.21
at Ole Miss25.33-2.57-8.67Florida11.262.585.28
Miss St15.71.81-3.42at Tennessee19.97-1.320.47
UTSA50.161.81-37.88Vanderbilt28.272.58-11.73
South Carolina19.121.81-6.84Appalachian St25.772.58-9.23
at Georgia5.8-1.8910.18at Texas A&M14.09-1.816.84
at LSU8.62-2.387.85Clemson1.652.5814.89
Spread Record8-4-5.31Spread Record5-71.94
Mississippi St15.7HFASpreadTennessee19.97HFASpread
vs. LA Lafayette39.16-1.88-21.58Georgia State46.941.32-28.29
Southern Miss32.373.15-19.82BYU25.611.32-6.96
Kansas St29.073.15-16.52Chattanooga
Kentucky25.493.15-12.94at Florida11.26-1.8510.56
at Auburn12.55-2.565.71Georgia5.81.3212.85
at Tennessee19.97-1.32-2.95Miss St15.71.322.95
LSU8.623.153.93at Alabama0.58-2.321.69
at Texas A&M14.09-1.813.42South Carolina19.121.32-0.47
at Arkansas28.56-3.24-9.62UAB39.91.32-21.25
Alabama0.583.1511.97at Kentucky25.49-1.25-4.27
Abilene Christianat Missouri18.08-2.144.03
Ole Miss25.333.15-12.78Vanderbilt28.271.32-9.62
Spread Record8-4-6.47Spread Record7-5-1.71
Ole Miss Rebels25.33HFASpreadKentucky Wildcats25.49HFASpread
vs. Texas Tech26.31-0.98Toledo33.981.25-9.74
Southern IllinoisEastern Michigan40.841.25-16.60
Alabama0.582.5722.18Florida11.261.2512.98
Kent State45.412.57-22.65at Miss St15.7-3.1512.94
at LSU8.62-2.3819.09at South Carolina19.12-2.588.95
LA Monroe42.32.57-19.54Arkansas28.561.25-4.32
at Arkansas28.56-3.240.01at Georgia5.8-1.8921.58
Auburn12.552.5710.21Missouri18.081.256.16
South Carolina19.122.573.64Tennessee19.971.254.27
at Texas A&M14.09-1.8113.05at Vanderbilt28.27-2.49-0.29
at Vanderbilt28.27-2.49-0.45Tenn-Martin
MIssissippi St15.72.577.06Louisville34.451.25-10.21
Spread Record5-72.87Spread Record6-62.34
Arkansas28.56HFASpreadVanderbilt28.27HFASpread
Portland StGeorgia5.82.4919.98
at Ole Miss25.33-2.575.80at Purdue27.12-1.472.62
Colorado St43.593.24-18.27LSU8.622.4917.16
San Jose St47.173.24-21.85Northern Illinois36.372.49-10.59
vs. Texas A&M14.09014.47at Ole Miss25.33-2.575.51
at Kentucky25.49-1.254.32UNLV41.412.49-15.63
Auburn12.553.2412.77Missouri18.082.497.70
at Alabama0.58-2.330.28at South Carolina19.12-2.5811.73
Mississippi St15.73.249.62at Florida11.26-1.8518.86
W Kentucky40.363.24-15.04Kentucky25.492.490.29
at LSU8.62-2.3822.32E Tenn St
Missouri18.083.247.24at Tennessee19.97-1.329.62
Spread Record4-84.70Spread Record3-96.11

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